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Posted by on in FX Chart Updates

A minor Friday downside probe after the midweek plunge to a new setback low, down from the trend line from mid-January and chart barriers at .7525/30,

The push below our next key target,  .7371, the 2011 cycle low has confirmed a multi-year Double Top pattern and also below the 38.2% retrace of the entire 2009-11 rally at .7335 for a still more bearish theme to leave risk to further key long term supports.

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Posted by on in FX Chart Updates

NZDUSD bearish extension threat intact

·         As expected, a new cycle low through .8422, just holding above the key .8402 level, still capped by the trend line from July at .8460 and solid chart resistances at .8495 and .8535

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Posted by on in FX Chart Updates

ZDUSD eyes multi-decade, secular high from 2011 at .8845

  • An inside Friday after the Thursday prod higher, still hesitant at the key long term resistance barrier at .8845 (see below), but we still see a resilient tone.

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Posted by on in FX Chart Updates

NZDUSD bearish bias through month-end

  • We stated in our last report that “the threat into midweek is for a still more negative theme to test .8505/002.
  • A bullish failure Tuesday back from the .8595/ 9505 former support, now resistance reinforced the previous break last week of the May neckline and .8595 prop.
  • The plunge Wednesday below .8500 completes a better top (Double Headed Head & Shoulders?) for a more bearish theme into late May and early June.
  • We now see risk to chart and retrace levels at .8435/30 and .8415.
  • Overshoot threat next week is to .8330.

WHAT CHANGES THIS?

  • Above .8580 eases bear risks; through .8595 signals a neutral tone, only shifting positive above .8695.

Daily NZDUSD

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