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AUDUSD bear pressures re-energizing

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AUDUSD bear pressures re-energizing

This report published Sunday evening, ahead of the Chinese trade data and AUDUSD breakdown.

A stall Thursday at the top of a wedge/ channel formation and at retrace/ chart barriers in the .7735/44 area and a move lower, as we had expected, having having stated in our last report "we see bias for a downside reversal below wedge/ trend line support to resurrect the bear theme".

The push through this support has reinforced bearish pressures from the Weekly Gravestone Doji from late March whilst below the 61.8% retrace at .7785 and .7800/10 pivot area. 

For Today:

We see a downside bias for trend line support (.7640); break here aims through for .7627, maybe .7595.

But above .7732 targets .7741/44 and opens risk up to .7785 and the .7800/10 pivot area, which we would look to try to cap.

Short/ Intermediate-term Outlook - Downside Risks:

For April we see a more negative tone with the bearish threat the new low at .7533 and to the psychological/ option target at .7500.

Below aims for a key chart level from 2009 at .7267.

Through here even sees risk to the 78.6% retracement of the entire 2008-11 rally at .7095.

A taster of the report above. To view the full AUDUSD report (from Sunday) with screencasts, levels and more, click here
Remember, for a FREE trial of our FX and all other reports, sign up by clicking here

2 Hour AUDUSD Chart


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Tagged in: AUD AUDUSD China Forex FX

Steve Miley is The Market Chartist and has over two decades of financial market experience with him. He spent 2009-2012 as a Director of the FX Technical Analysis Research Strategy team at Credit Suisse and was previously at Merrill Lynch for 15 years; 10 years as a technical analyst, 5 years in Fixed Income sales.

He was 2013 winner of the Technical Analyst Magazine Award for Best Independent Fixed Income Research & Strategy, Runner Up for the same award in 2014 and was the winner of Best FX Research & Strategy 2012 (at Credit Suisse).

Steve is a Member of the Society of Technical Analysts (MSTA) and holds a Masters Degree in Politics, Philosophy & Economics from Lincoln College, Oxford University.

Steve has covered all major asset classes including Rates & Credit, G10 & EM currencies, Equity Indices & Sectors and Commodities and has strong relationships across the institutional financial trading spectrum, including Central Banks, Real Money accounts, Hedge Funds and other Global Corporates.



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